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Danger, Will Robinson!

There is a new report of the 22 most dangerous cities in America, on a per capita basis: These Are The Most Dangerous Cities In The US

Just for fun and even though I already know the answer before I start, I decided to look at the demographics of each of these cities to see what it tells us, using Wikipedia.

In the number one slot:

Bessemer, AL
Violent Crime Rate (per 1,000 residents): 33.1
Your chance of being a victim: 1 in 30

Bessemer is the new champion with a 1 in 30 chance of being a victim of a violent crime!

This year, Monroe, LA was replaced by Bessemer, AL, dropping from its two-year ranking as the number one most violent city in America to the ranking of third.  Bessemer has 33.18 violent crimes per 1,000 population, and the chance of being a violent crime victim is 1 in 30.

A 1 in 30 chance? Those are not great odds. In 2020 Bessemer was just shy of 70% black, 18.74% White and 8.86% mestizo. I will use B, W, and M going forward.

Next up…

Mobile, AL
Violent Crime Rate (per 1,000 residents): 27.9
Chance of being a victim: 1 in 35

Mobile is 51% B, 40% W and 3.23% M.

The former champion now in third place…

Monroe, LA
Violent Crime Rate (per 1,000 residents): 26.3
Chance of being a victim: 1 in 38

Monroe is 63% B, 30% W and only 2% M.

Leaving the South for a moment….

Saginaw, MI
Violent Crime Rate (per 1,000 residents): 25.1
Chance of being a victim: 1 in 39

Saginaw is a real shithole and is 43% B, 34% W and 15% M.

Back to the South with the largest city so far….

Memphis, TN
Violent Crime Rate (per 1,000 residents): 25.1
Chance of being a victim: 1 in 39

61% B, 24% W and almost 10% M.

Back to Michigan….

Detroit, MI
Violent Crime Rate (per 1,000 residents): 23.0
Chance of being a victim: 1 in 43

77% B, 11% W and 8% M. Detroit was 82% black ten years ago but mestizos are moving in as are Whites via “gentrification”.

South again with the third Alabama city in the top 7….

Birmingham, AL
Violent Crime Rate (per 1,000 residents): 20.6
Chance of being a victim: 1 in 49

68% B, 22% W and 4.6% M.

Next up…

Pine Bluff, AR
Violent Crime Rate (per 1,000 residents): 20.5
Chance of being a victim: 1 in 48

77% B, 18% W and 1.3% M.

Staying in Arkansas….

Little Rock, AR
Violent Crime Rate (per 1,000 residents): 20.2
Chance of being a victim: 1 in 49

Clintonville is the first city on the list where blacks are not the largest racial group, although it is close 40% B, 42% W and 10% M.

Rounding out the top ten…

Alexandria, LA
Violent Crime Rate (per 1,000 residents): 18.8
Chance of being a victim: 1 in 53

Alexandria is 54% B, 36% W and almost 3% M.

The Mistake By The Lake is next…

Cleveland, OH
Violent Crime Rate (per 1,000 residents): 17.1
Chance of being a victim: 1 in 58

47% B, 32% W and 13% M.

This one surprised me a bit, Kalamazoo is a fairly nice town.

Kalamazoo, MI
Violent Crime Rate (per 1,000 residents): 16.8
Chance of being a victim: 1 in 59

KZoo at # 12 is the first majority White city on the list, 68% W, 22% B and 6.4% M.

Milwaukee, WI
Violent Crime Rate (per 1,000 residents): 16.6
Chance of being a victim: 1 in 59

38% B, 32% W and 20% M.

Albany, GA
Violent Crime Rate (per 1,000 residents): 16.1
Chance of being a victim: 1 in 61

74% B, 19% W and 2.36% M.

Our second (barely) majority White city.

Gadsden, AL
Violent Crime Rate (per 1,000 residents): 15.8
Chance of being a victim: 1 in 63

35% B, 50% W and 8% M

Danville, IL
Violent Crime Rate (per 1,000 residents): 15.8
Chance of being a victim: 1 in 63

32.5% B, 56% W and 7% M.

Michigan shows up again….

Lansing, MI
Violent Crime Rate (per 1,000 residents): 15.7
Chance of being a victim: 1 in 63

22.5% B, 51% W and 13% M.

Baltimore, MD
Violent Crime Rate (per 1,000 residents): 15.6
Chance of being a victim: 1 in 63

62% B, 32% W and 6% M

The Whitest city, and least black city, on the list by a wide margin is…

Springfield, MO
Violent Crime Rate (per 1,000 residents): 15.6
Chance of being a victim: 1 in 64

5% B, 79.4% W and 6% M

Spartanburg, SC
Violent Crime Rate (per 1,000 residents): 15.2
Chance of being a victim: 1 in 65

43.75% B, 44% W and 5.89% M.

As we move down the list, the cities are getting Whiter

Rockford, IL
Violent Crime Rate (per 1,000 residents): 15.0
Chance of being a victim: 1 in 66

22.5% B, 48% W and 20% M.

The last on the list of the top 22….

Wilmington, DE
Violent Crime Rate (per 1,000 residents): 15.0
Chance of being a victim: 1 in 66

54% B, 26% W and 13% M.

Alabama and Michigan are tied with 4 cities each on the list. Of the 22 cities listed, 8 have a White population larger than the black population although several of those are awfully close, while 14 (63%) have blacks as either an absolute majority or are the largest racial minority. Other than Springfield, Missouri all of the cities on the list have at least a 20% black population.

Social media lefties often will claim that Republicans are bad on crime because so many “red states” have such high violent crime rates but in a state like Alabama with a Republican Governor and super majorities of Republicans in the state House and Senate, the most violent cities are places like 70% black Bessemer, 51% black Mobile and 68% black Birmingham. That doesn’t prove Republicans are soft on crime, just that blacks are disproportionately involved in crime.

Likewise states with low crime like New Hampshire and Vermont have low crime rates because of demographics. New Hampshire has a Republican Governor and slim Republican majorities in both chambers of the “General Court” but it also is less than 2% black. Vermont has a liberal “Republican” Governor, a Progressive Lieutenant Governor and a Democrat super majority in both chambers of their state legislature. It also is only 1.3% black and that is why Vermont, in spite of Democrat leadership, is a very safe state.

Your odds of being the victim of a violent crime are driven by race more than by politics, although Democrat politics can make bad situations worse (Chicago, California). The rule is one we all know and live by:

Avoid crowds and especially avoid crowds with more than zero blacks. Never, ever relax.

17 Comments

  1. Moe Gibbs

    Those stats can be very deceiving, if it is a large city (say, Chicago or Baltimore) with numerous suburbs, some good, and some very, very bad. If it was broken out by neighborhoods, you would find that the suburbs north and east of San Antonio, for instance, are relatively safe, but south of city central lands you squarely into the kill zone. I’d like to see similar stats broken out by zip code. If they were, one in 30 chance of being a victim of violent crime would likely qualify as rookie numbers.

    HeyJackass.com has a homicide map for Chicago that is instructional.

    • Anon

      Not only that, it is based on what is reported.
      The stats for large cities have been screwed with for years now post-Floyd.
      I remember seeing an article about ‘delays’ or some other bullshit excuse though I don’t remember where it was from, some lying journo or another that it doesn’t make a difference.
      Point is, it’s worse than shown.

    • Arthur Sido

      Very true, that is why Chicago never appears on these lists. It is actually a relatively safe city apart from the heavily black neighborhoods and Whites/Asians rarely are murdered in Chicongo

    • Don W Curton

      Agreed – but the problem is that they can travel as needed. I live in a suburb of Houston, my little slice of heaven shows to be 70+% white and only 8% black (however they don’t report mestizo, so assume plenty of the 70+% is hispanic-white). Should be pretty safe. However I can say that after that last hurricane lots and lots of “tourists” slow crawling their cars through our subdivision checking out which houses were boarded up and empty. Those tourists didn’t match the 70+% ethnicity of the city, so I have to assume they were branching out from elsewhere.

      for about two weeks I spent plenty of time outside, open carry (prior to it being legal) and plenty of time holding a rifle anytime a strange car drove by.

      When SHTF arises, 5 or 10 miles of distance ain’t gonna help much.

      • Gryphon

        Don – that’s True, but only in the event that Travel by Car is practical. A few at a Time would be likely, but in a real Grid-Down situation, Roads get Clogged rapidly, and blocked by Cars out of Gas. The really Dark parts of Cities don’t have that many Vehicles to begin with, compared to the Suburbs, so I think the real Chaos will be close-in to the ‘vibrant districts’.

        I live in an ‘Exurban’ (barely Rural) area where only three Roads go through around 100 square Kilometers of Land, rolling Terrain and mostly Wooded. The people near the ‘entrances’ (where these Roads connect to larger ones) have pre-surveyed Trees and Chain Saws…

  2. Jeffrey Zoar

    I’m guessing the only reason Prichard didn’t make the list is the population cutoff at 25,000, while its population is 19,000. It is to Mobile as Bessemer is to Birmingham.

    The white side of Birmingham is pretty nice btw. As is the white side of Mobile, although increasingly the white side of Mobile has moved to the east side of the bay in Baldwin County. Which is a very nice place. If you don’t mind the occasional hurricane.

  3. Xzebek

    Basically , chimptown in almost every State is going to lead the State in crime.
    My shocked face is not putting in an appearance tonight.

  4. Mean Boy

    The Affirmatively Furthering Fair Housing act will make sure the enrichment comes to your area.
    No shirking in the new civility unity hive collective, comrade.
    You’ll get the indispensable diversity good and hard.
    The glorious people’s republic of Michigan (CPUSA) should be proud, union commies get what they deserve.

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