You know who I do trust? Wildlife.
Typically when I am driving around as the sun is coming up, I will see a few deer here and there. There are maybe a dozen places where they can be seen and it is rare to not see some at a few of those spots.
They were out at every spot.
I saw upwards of 40 deer this morning in various places, all chowing down fairly frantically. THAT more than complex weather models makes me think this winter storm will actually happen. The deer just know somehow that the weather is about to get ugly, maybe changes in the barometric pressure or something. When you see a lot of activity from the wildlife, it is a pretty reliable sign something is brewing.
As always we will see the fatal flaw in the just-in-time supply chain as panicked shoppers hit the big stores for milk, bread, toilet paper and booze. By tomorrow afternoon I expect most of the stores around here to be completely stripped bare. That is just for a couple days worth of winter storms, imagine if it looked like something longer lasting? You don't have to think very hard, we saw it for months in 2020 as the "pandemic" drove people insane.
Me? We have plenty of food and toilet paper, I might grab an extra gallon of milk from the Amish grocery store but otherwise we are sitting pretty. Now we get to sit back and watch the chaos unfold.